With less than two months before the in/out referendum, the latest Opinium/Observer poll shows 38% of voters believe the UK economy would fare better inside the EU, against 29% who think it would do better if the UK voted to leave. The online poll shows the result is still on a knife-edge, although Remain appears to be making progress and now holds a narrow lead. Remain is on 42% (up 3 points on the previous Opinium survey four weeks ago) while Leave is down 2 points on 41%. The proportion who say they don’t know how they will vote has dropped from 18% to 14%.
The survey comes as Remain campaigners accused leading campaigners for Leave of hypocrisy for campaigning against the huge Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership EU/US trade deal now being negotiated – having previously praised it as a deal with huge potential benefits for the UK.
Tory voters were deeply divided over EU membership, with 45% backing Brexit and 43% Remain. By contrast, more than twice as many Labour supporters (59%) want to stay in the EU as want to leave (28%).
The findings suggest that warnings about the damage to the UK and global economies from Brexit, issued recently by the IMF, the OECD and the Treasury, and reinforced by US President Barack Obama on his recent visit to the UK, may be having an effect on public opinion.
#David Cameron’s campaign to stay in the EU received a boost on Sunday as a new poll showed more people believe the economy will be stronger if Britain remains inside the 28-nation community than if it opts for Brexit.