“Over the past 18 months, the Islamic State has continued to lose territory at an increasing rate,” Columb Strack, senior analyst at IHS and lead analyst for the IHS Conflict Monitor, said in a statement. “As the Islamic State’s caliphate shrinks and it becomes increasingly clear that its governance project is failing, the group is re-prioritizing insurgency. As a result, we unfortunately expect an increase in mass casualty attacks and sabotage of economic infrastructure, across Iraq and Syria, and further afield, including Europe.”
The new analysis, released Sunday, came just before Defense Secretary Ash Carter announced on Monday in Iraq that President Obama approved sending 560 more U.S. troops to that country to help in the fight against ISIS.
“At every step in this campaign, we have generated and seized additional opportunities to hasten ISIL’s lasting defeat,” Carter said, using an alternate acronym for the group. “These additional U.S. forces will bring unique capabilities to the campaign and provide critical enabler support to Iraqi forces at a key moment in the fight.”
In Syria, the U.S.-backed Syrian Democratic Forces are working to retake Manbij, a northern Syrian city that provides ISIS access to the Turkish border.
The Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS) lost 12 percent of its territory in the last six months, according to a new analysis from research firm IHS.